Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ensemble models position 16°C as the leading outcome for Paris’s highest temperature on May 17, reflecting persistent cool, unstable spring conditions with extensive cloud cover and light variable winds. These patterns have kept daytime maxima below the seasonal average of roughly 19–20°C, with morning lows near 8–9°C giving way to afternoon peaks expected between 15°C and 17°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today due to suppressed insolation and weak southerly flow, though minor upward revisions in some runs could still shift the high into the 17°C range if clearing occurs earlier than projected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 66%
15°C 26%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
$70,944 Vol.
$70,944 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
66%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 26%
17°C 9%
18°C <1%
$70,944 Vol.
$70,944 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
26%
16°C
66%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ensemble models position 16°C as the leading outcome for Paris’s highest temperature on May 17, reflecting persistent cool, unstable spring conditions with extensive cloud cover and light variable winds. These patterns have kept daytime maxima below the seasonal average of roughly 19–20°C, with morning lows near 8–9°C giving way to afternoon peaks expected between 15°C and 17°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential today due to suppressed insolation and weak southerly flow, though minor upward revisions in some runs could still shift the high into the 17°C range if clearing occurs earlier than projected.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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