Recent forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF and Météo-France, shows the highest temperature in Paris on May 18 most likely reaching 15–17°C under variable springtime conditions with partial cloud cover and light winds. These closely matched outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in daytime heating rates, as modest differences in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island effects within the city can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology for Paris centers near 18°C, but current steering patterns from a nearby high-pressure ridge favor slightly cooler advection from the northwest. Updated model runs and official observations from Météo-France are expected before market resolution, offering the final verification inputs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on May 18?
16°C 40%
15°C 34%
17°C 15%
14°C 8%
$19,073 Vol.
$19,073 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
8%
15°C
34%
16°C
40%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 40%
15°C 34%
17°C 15%
14°C 8%
$19,073 Vol.
$19,073 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
8%
15°C
34%
16°C
40%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from European models, including ECMWF and Météo-France, shows the highest temperature in Paris on May 18 most likely reaching 15–17°C under variable springtime conditions with partial cloud cover and light winds. These closely matched outcomes reflect genuine uncertainty in daytime heating rates, as modest differences in solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island effects within the city can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology for Paris centers near 18°C, but current steering patterns from a nearby high-pressure ridge favor slightly cooler advection from the northwest. Updated model runs and official observations from Météo-France are expected before market resolution, offering the final verification inputs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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