**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum of 27–28 °C in São Paulo on 27 August 2026 as the most probable outcome.** Recent observations show the city emerging from a cooler, cloudier period earlier in the month into clearer conditions as a continental low-pressure system weakens. This allows greater solar heating under partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds advecting warmer air. Multiple short-range forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, and Brazilian meteorological sources) converge on daytime peaks of 27–28 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those values. The urban heat-island effect and São Paulo’s ~760 m elevation further support these readings over historical late-August averages near 23 °C. A stronger warming trend is expected to accelerate after the 27th, but any residual morning cloud or slightly stronger onshore flow could cap the day at 27 °C, while minimal cloud cover or a brief northerly surge could push it to 29 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 27–29 °C window as the dominant range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
27°C 15%
25°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
15%
28°C
50%
29°C
26%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
6%
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
27°C 15%
25°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$18 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$89 Vol.
50%
29°C
$174 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum of 27–28 °C in São Paulo on 27 August 2026 as the most probable outcome.** Recent observations show the city emerging from a cooler, cloudier period earlier in the month into clearer conditions as a continental low-pressure system weakens. This allows greater solar heating under partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds advecting warmer air.
Multiple short-range forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, and Brazilian meteorological sources) converge on daytime peaks of 27–28 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those values. The urban heat-island effect and São Paulo’s ~760 m elevation further support these readings over historical late-August averages near 23 °C. A stronger warming trend is expected to accelerate after the 27th, but any residual morning cloud or slightly stronger onshore flow could cap the day at 27 °C, while minimal cloud cover or a brief northerly surge could push it to 29 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 27–29 °C window as the dominant range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$281Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum of 27–28 °C in São Paulo on 27 August 2026 as the most probable outcome.** Recent observations show the city emerging from a cooler, cloudier period earlier in the month into clearer conditions as a continental low-pressure system weakens. This allows greater solar heating under partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds advecting warmer air.
Multiple short-range forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, and Brazilian meteorological sources) converge on daytime peaks of 27–28 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those values. The urban heat-island effect and São Paulo’s ~760 m elevation further support these readings over historical late-August averages near 23 °C. A stronger warming trend is expected to accelerate after the 27th, but any residual morning cloud or slightly stronger onshore flow could cap the day at 27 °C, while minimal cloud cover or a brief northerly surge could push it to 29 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 27–29 °C window as the dominant range ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$281Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a maximum of 27–28 °C in São Paulo on 27 August 2026 as the most probable outcome.** Recent observations show the city emerging from a cooler, cloudier period earlier in the month into clearer conditions as a continental low-pressure system weakens. This allows greater solar heating under partly sunny skies, with light northerly winds advecting warmer air. Multiple short-range forecasts (including Met Office, Yr, and Brazilian meteorological sources) converge on daytime peaks of 27–28 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those values. The urban heat-island effect and São Paulo’s ~760 m elevation further support these readings over historical late-August averages near 23 °C. A stronger warming trend is expected to accelerate after the 27th, but any residual morning cloud or slightly stronger onshore flow could cap the day at 27 °C, while minimal cloud cover or a brief northerly surge could push it to 29 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 27–29 °C window as the dominant range ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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