Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models, indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–32°C on September 7 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. These align with seasonal September averages near 31°C and follow a modest temperature rise expected after cooler early-week conditions. Market-implied odds favor 32°C at 58% and 33°C at 43%, reflecting consensus on peak readings near or slightly above the upper end of current model runs while accounting for minor forecast variability in afternoon maxima. No significant heatwave signals or cooling fronts appear in near-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 7?
32°C 58%
33°C 43%
34°C 5%
30°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
58%
33°C
43%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
32°C 58%
33°C 43%
34°C 5%
30°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
58%
33°C
43%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models, indicate Tel Aviv highs of 31–32°C on September 7 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. These align with seasonal September averages near 31°C and follow a modest temperature rise expected after cooler early-week conditions. Market-implied odds favor 32°C at 58% and 33°C at 43%, reflecting consensus on peak readings near or slightly above the upper end of current model runs while accounting for minor forecast variability in afternoon maxima. No significant heatwave signals or cooling fronts appear in near-term guidance, keeping probabilities concentrated on these two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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