Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 26?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,273 Vol.
$6,273 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,273 Vol.
$6,273 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$185 Vol.
No
23°C
$185 Vol.
No
24°C
$185 Vol.
No
25°C
$185 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,140 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,140 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,009 Vol.
No
29°C
$812 Vol.
No
30°C
$657 Vol.
No
31°C
$205 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$570 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,273Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,273Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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