The official @khamenei_ir account, now managed by the office of the martyred Leader, maintains very low posting volume in the post-2026 conflict period, with recent tracking showing activity on only about 7% of days and an average well below one post daily. This pattern of sporadic archival quotes, religious recitations, and occasional commemorative material aligns with trader consensus pricing the sub-5 bracket at 97.7%. Primary drivers include the absence of new statements from the late Ayatollah and a shift toward curated historical content rather than real-time updates. A major diplomatic development, security incident, or scheduled institutional anniversary within the resolution window could increase output, though such triggers remain infrequent based on observed behavior since early 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKhamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?
<5 97.7%
10-14 2.6%
5-9 1.6%
15-19 <1%
$12,397 Vol.
$12,397 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
<5
98%
5-9
2%
10-14
3%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
1%
<5 97.7%
10-14 2.6%
5-9 1.6%
15-19 <1%
$12,397 Vol.
$12,397 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
<5
$2,727 Vol.
98%
5-9
$2,374 Vol.
2%
10-14
$1,057 Vol.
3%
15-19
$878 Vol.
1%
20-24
$917 Vol.
1%
25-29
$827 Vol.
1%
30-34
$827 Vol.
1%
35-39
$696 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$606 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$365 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$369 Vol.
1%
55-59
$384 Vol.
<1%
60+
$369 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now managed by the office of the martyred Leader, maintains very low posting volume in the post-2026 conflict period, with recent tracking showing activity on only about 7% of days and an average well below one post daily. This pattern of sporadic archival quotes, religious recitations, and occasional commemorative material aligns with trader consensus pricing the sub-5 bracket at 97.7%. Primary drivers include the absence of new statements from the late Ayatollah and a shift toward curated historical content rather than real-time updates. A major diplomatic development, security incident, or scheduled institutional anniversary within the resolution window could increase output, though such triggers remain infrequent based on observed behavior since early 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$12,397Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The official @khamenei_ir account, now managed by the office of the martyred Leader, maintains very low posting volume in the post-2026 conflict period, with recent tracking showing activity on only about 7% of days and an average well below one post daily. This pattern of sporadic archival quotes, religious recitations, and occasional commemorative material aligns with trader consensus pricing the sub-5 bracket at 97.7%. Primary drivers include the absence of new statements from the late Ayatollah and a shift toward curated historical content rather than real-time updates. A major diplomatic development, security incident, or scheduled institutional anniversary within the resolution window could increase output, though such triggers remain infrequent based on observed behavior since early 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$12,397Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The official @khamenei_ir account, now managed by the office of the martyred Leader, maintains very low posting volume in the post-2026 conflict period, with recent tracking showing activity on only about 7% of days and an average well below one post daily. This pattern of sporadic archival quotes, religious recitations, and occasional commemorative material aligns with trader consensus pricing the sub-5 bracket at 97.7%. Primary drivers include the absence of new statements from the late Ayatollah and a shift toward curated historical content rather than real-time updates. A major diplomatic development, security incident, or scheduled institutional anniversary within the resolution window could increase output, though such triggers remain infrequent based on observed behavior since early 2026.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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