Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to his dominant showing in recent internal polls among the party’s 140,000 registered members, where he has topped surveys with support near 73 percent ahead of the August 17 vote to select the Knesset slate. As Knesset Speaker and a Netanyahu-aligned figure, Ohana benefits from strong backing within the core membership base, while adjustments granting the party chair additional reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions. Other contenders such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, and Boaz Bismuth trail significantly in member preferences, reflecting the influence of loyalist networks and the limited path for challengers in this cycle’s crowded field. The outcome will shape Likud’s candidate list for the October legislative election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAmir Ohana 82%
Tally Gotliv 8.9%
Yariv Levin 6.0%
No Primary by Knesset Election 2.2%
$60,197 Vol.
$60,197 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
82%
Tally Gotliv
9%
Yariv Levin
6%
No Primary by Knesset Election
2%
Boaz Bismuth
1%
Eli Cohen
1%
Miri Regev
1%
Shlomo Karhi
1%
Moshe Saada
1%
David Amsalem
1%
Almog Cohen
1%
Amichai Chikli
1%
Israel Katz
<1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
Yoav Kisch
<1%
Miki Zohar
<1%
David Bitan
<1%
Amir Ohana 82%
Tally Gotliv 8.9%
Yariv Levin 6.0%
No Primary by Knesset Election 2.2%
$60,197 Vol.
$60,197 Vol.
Oct 26, 2026
Amir Ohana
$19,248 Vol.
82%
Tally Gotliv
$12,668 Vol.
9%
Yariv Levin
$3,909 Vol.
6%
No Primary by Knesset Election
$9,710 Vol.
2%
Boaz Bismuth
$1,287 Vol.
1%
Eli Cohen
$1,441 Vol.
1%
Miri Regev
$655 Vol.
1%
Shlomo Karhi
$1,016 Vol.
1%
Moshe Saada
$882 Vol.
1%
David Amsalem
$832 Vol.
1%
Almog Cohen
$909 Vol.
1%
Amichai Chikli
$910 Vol.
1%
Israel Katz
$2,245 Vol.
<1%
Nir Barkat
$2,180 Vol.
<1%
Yoav Kisch
$841 Vol.
<1%
Miki Zohar
$667 Vol.
<1%
David Bitan
$800 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to his dominant showing in recent internal polls among the party’s 140,000 registered members, where he has topped surveys with support near 73 percent ahead of the August 17 vote to select the Knesset slate. As Knesset Speaker and a Netanyahu-aligned figure, Ohana benefits from strong backing within the core membership base, while adjustments granting the party chair additional reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions. Other contenders such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, and Boaz Bismuth trail significantly in member preferences, reflecting the influence of loyalist networks and the limited path for challengers in this cycle’s crowded field. The outcome will shape Likud’s candidate list for the October legislative election.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volume
$60,197Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to his dominant showing in recent internal polls among the party’s 140,000 registered members, where he has topped surveys with support near 73 percent ahead of the August 17 vote to select the Knesset slate. As Knesset Speaker and a Netanyahu-aligned figure, Ohana benefits from strong backing within the core membership base, while adjustments granting the party chair additional reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions. Other contenders such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, and Boaz Bismuth trail significantly in member preferences, reflecting the influence of loyalist networks and the limited path for challengers in this cycle’s crowded field. The outcome will shape Likud’s candidate list for the October legislative election.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
Volume
$60,197Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amir Ohana leads the Likud primary market due to his dominant showing in recent internal polls among the party’s 140,000 registered members, where he has topped surveys with support near 73 percent ahead of the August 17 vote to select the Knesset slate. As Knesset Speaker and a Netanyahu-aligned figure, Ohana benefits from strong backing within the core membership base, while adjustments granting the party chair additional reserved slots have intensified competition for the remaining positions. Other contenders such as Tally Gotliv, Yariv Levin, and Boaz Bismuth trail significantly in member preferences, reflecting the influence of loyalist networks and the limited path for challengers in this cycle’s crowded field. The outcome will shape Likud’s candidate list for the October legislative election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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