Recent model runs from sources like the GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds under a subtropical monsoon pattern. This produces closely matched market-implied odds because small shifts in rainfall timing or radiative cooling can alter the low by 1–2°C, with historical August averages around 25°C providing context but limited guidance given current instability. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration forecasts align with this narrow band, while extreme outliers below 23°C or above 30°C remain improbable absent major forecast revisions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 29?
23°C 50%
22°C 48%
30°C 39%
25°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
48%
23°C
50%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
39%
31°C or higher
2%
23°C 50%
22°C 48%
30°C 39%
25°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$265 Vol.
4%
22°C
$135 Vol.
48%
23°C
$5 Vol.
50%
24°C
$26 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$6 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$153 Vol.
39%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources like the GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds under a subtropical monsoon pattern. This produces closely matched market-implied odds because small shifts in rainfall timing or radiative cooling can alter the low by 1–2°C, with historical August averages around 25°C providing context but limited guidance given current instability. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration forecasts align with this narrow band, while extreme outliers below 23°C or above 30°C remain improbable absent major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$595Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from sources like the GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds under a subtropical monsoon pattern. This produces closely matched market-implied odds because small shifts in rainfall timing or radiative cooling can alter the low by 1–2°C, with historical August averages around 25°C providing context but limited guidance given current instability. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration forecasts align with this narrow band, while extreme outliers below 23°C or above 30°C remain improbable absent major forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$595Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from sources like the GFS indicate Guangzhou's overnight minimum on August 29 will likely settle near 26–28°C amid persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light variable winds under a subtropical monsoon pattern. This produces closely matched market-implied odds because small shifts in rainfall timing or radiative cooling can alter the low by 1–2°C, with historical August averages around 25°C providing context but limited guidance given current instability. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration forecasts align with this narrow band, while extreme outliers below 23°C or above 30°C remain improbable absent major forecast revisions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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