**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 21 reflects tight clustering around 23–26°C, with 25°C holding a marginal lead at 49.5% implied probability amid similar odds for 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C.** This distribution arises from consistent tropical monsoon conditions that produce only modest night-to-night variability in minimum temperatures. Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial location (roughly 3°N) and high humidity typically limit the diurnal temperature range to 6–9°C. Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and southeasterly flow—reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows anchored near the recent observed range of 24–26°C. On September 20 the station minimum reached 24.3°C under similar overcast, humid conditions. Official and model guidance for September 21 shows overnight lows of 24–26°C (77–79°F), with light-to-moderate rain and high dew points (around 24–25°C) expected to suppress further cooling. Clearer breaks could allow a dip toward 23°C, while thicker cloud or heavier rain would favor 25–26°C. The near-even odds across this narrow band capture model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact hourly minimum under these stable, moisture-laden conditions, while probabilities drop sharply outside 22–27°C because historical September data and current steering patterns make extremes unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 21?
23°C 97%
20°C or below 94%
24°C 51%
22°C 19%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
97%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 97%
20°C or below 94%
24°C 51%
22°C 19%
20°C or below
94%
21°C
4%
22°C
19%
23°C
97%
24°C
51%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 21 reflects tight clustering around 23–26°C, with 25°C holding a marginal lead at 49.5% implied probability amid similar odds for 23°C, 24°C, and 26°C.** This distribution arises from consistent tropical monsoon conditions that produce only modest night-to-night variability in minimum temperatures. Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial location (roughly 3°N) and high humidity typically limit the diurnal temperature range to 6–9°C. Persistent cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms—driven by the Intertropical Convergence Zone and southeasterly flow—reduce nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows anchored near the recent observed range of 24–26°C. On September 20 the station minimum reached 24.3°C under similar overcast, humid conditions. Official and model guidance for September 21 shows overnight lows of 24–26°C (77–79°F), with light-to-moderate rain and high dew points (around 24–25°C) expected to suppress further cooling. Clearer breaks could allow a dip toward 23°C, while thicker cloud or heavier rain would favor 25–26°C. The near-even odds across this narrow band capture model spread and the inherent uncertainty in pinpointing the exact hourly minimum under these stable, moisture-laden conditions, while probabilities drop sharply outside 22–27°C because historical September data and current steering patterns make extremes unlikely.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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