**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on June 14, 2026, with 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest Met Office guidance, which explicitly forecasts a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C under conditions of variable cloud, light northwesterly winds, and clear spells that support moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 22°C. Ensemble model runs and short-range updates have narrowed the expected overnight low to a narrow band around this value, consistent with near-normal June climatology for the region (typical overnight lows of 12–14°C). Official station data, likely from Heathrow or central London sites, are expected to confirm this threshold given the stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome are greater-than-forecast cloud cover or a modest wind increase that limits cooling and keeps the minimum at 14°C or above, or conversely, clearer skies and decoupling that allow a dip toward 12°C or lower. Updated Met Office briefings and real-time observations through the night will determine the final recorded value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on June 14?
Lowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.4%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$20,113 Vol.
$20,113 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.4%
12°C <1%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$20,113 Vol.
$20,113 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
$790 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,470 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,410 Vol.
1%
13°C
$5,103 Vol.
99%
14°C
$4,918 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$585 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on June 14, 2026, with 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest Met Office guidance, which explicitly forecasts a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C under conditions of variable cloud, light northwesterly winds, and clear spells that support moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 22°C.
Ensemble model runs and short-range updates have narrowed the expected overnight low to a narrow band around this value, consistent with near-normal June climatology for the region (typical overnight lows of 12–14°C). Official station data, likely from Heathrow or central London sites, are expected to confirm this threshold given the stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture.
The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome are greater-than-forecast cloud cover or a modest wind increase that limits cooling and keeps the minimum at 14°C or above, or conversely, clearer skies and decoupling that allow a dip toward 12°C or lower. Updated Met Office briefings and real-time observations through the night will determine the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20,113Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on June 14, 2026, with 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest Met Office guidance, which explicitly forecasts a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C under conditions of variable cloud, light northwesterly winds, and clear spells that support moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 22°C.
Ensemble model runs and short-range updates have narrowed the expected overnight low to a narrow band around this value, consistent with near-normal June climatology for the region (typical overnight lows of 12–14°C). Official station data, likely from Heathrow or central London sites, are expected to confirm this threshold given the stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture.
The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome are greater-than-forecast cloud cover or a modest wind increase that limits cooling and keeps the minimum at 14°C or above, or conversely, clearer skies and decoupling that allow a dip toward 12°C or lower. Updated Met Office briefings and real-time observations through the night will determine the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,113Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged sharply on 13°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on June 14, 2026, with 99.4% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the latest Met Office guidance, which explicitly forecasts a minimum nighttime temperature of 13°C under conditions of variable cloud, light northwesterly winds, and clear spells that support moderate radiative cooling after a daytime high near 22°C. Ensemble model runs and short-range updates have narrowed the expected overnight low to a narrow band around this value, consistent with near-normal June climatology for the region (typical overnight lows of 12–14°C). Official station data, likely from Heathrow or central London sites, are expected to confirm this threshold given the stable high-pressure influence and limited moisture. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome are greater-than-forecast cloud cover or a modest wind increase that limits cooling and keeps the minimum at 14°C or above, or conversely, clearer skies and decoupling that allow a dip toward 12°C or lower. Updated Met Office briefings and real-time observations through the night will determine the final recorded value.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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