Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C for London on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological June minimums near 12–14°C and follows the transition from May’s record warmth to near-normal early-summer patterns. Traders have converged on the 13°C outcome at 99% implied probability because official guidance and observational trends show little deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that enhances cooling beyond current model consensus, potentially dropping the reading to 12°C or lower at the recording station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on June 14?
Lowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$21,534 Vol.
$21,534 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$21,534 Vol.
$21,534 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
$790 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$733 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$2,662 Vol.
1%
12°C
$2,470 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5,456 Vol.
99%
14°C
$5,107 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,002 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$585 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C for London on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological June minimums near 12–14°C and follows the transition from May’s record warmth to near-normal early-summer patterns. Traders have converged on the 13°C outcome at 99% implied probability because official guidance and observational trends show little deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that enhances cooling beyond current model consensus, potentially dropping the reading to 12°C or lower at the recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,534Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C for London on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological June minimums near 12–14°C and follows the transition from May’s record warmth to near-normal early-summer patterns. Traders have converged on the 13°C outcome at 99% implied probability because official guidance and observational trends show little deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that enhances cooling beyond current model consensus, potentially dropping the reading to 12°C or lower at the recording station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,534Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate an overnight low of 13–14°C for London on June 14 under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological June minimums near 12–14°C and follows the transition from May’s record warmth to near-normal early-summer patterns. Traders have converged on the 13°C outcome at 99% implied probability because official guidance and observational trends show little deviation expected before resolution. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift that enhances cooling beyond current model consensus, potentially dropping the reading to 12°C or lower at the recording station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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