**Forecast models currently point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 16 near 15–18°C, reflecting a modest cooldown after recent hot days.** Highs reached 33–35°C on September 14–15 under clear skies and light southerly flow, but northeasterly winds are expected to strengthen on the 16th, advecting cooler continental air while skies remain mostly clear. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight, supporting lows in the mid-teens Celsius consistent with historical September averages of about 15.4°C. The tightly matched market-implied odds around 16°C or below versus much warmer thresholds capture lingering model spread in exact minimum values, driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs. Clear, dry conditions increase the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could keep temperatures several degrees milder. The next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and official AEMET briefings will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
16°C or below 91%
26°C or higher 91%
19°C 39%
20°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
91%
17°C
21%
18°C
25%
19°C
39%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
37%
25°C
37%
26°C or higher
91%
16°C or below 91%
26°C or higher 91%
19°C 39%
20°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
91%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$0 Vol.
37%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C
$0 Vol.
37%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
37%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 16 near 15–18°C, reflecting a modest cooldown after recent hot days.** Highs reached 33–35°C on September 14–15 under clear skies and light southerly flow, but northeasterly winds are expected to strengthen on the 16th, advecting cooler continental air while skies remain mostly clear. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight, supporting lows in the mid-teens Celsius consistent with historical September averages of about 15.4°C.
The tightly matched market-implied odds around 16°C or below versus much warmer thresholds capture lingering model spread in exact minimum values, driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs. Clear, dry conditions increase the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could keep temperatures several degrees milder. The next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and official AEMET briefings will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 16 near 15–18°C, reflecting a modest cooldown after recent hot days.** Highs reached 33–35°C on September 14–15 under clear skies and light southerly flow, but northeasterly winds are expected to strengthen on the 16th, advecting cooler continental air while skies remain mostly clear. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight, supporting lows in the mid-teens Celsius consistent with historical September averages of about 15.4°C.
The tightly matched market-implied odds around 16°C or below versus much warmer thresholds capture lingering model spread in exact minimum values, driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs. Clear, dry conditions increase the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could keep temperatures several degrees milder. The next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and official AEMET briefings will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models currently point to a minimum temperature in Madrid on September 16 near 15–18°C, reflecting a modest cooldown after recent hot days.** Highs reached 33–35°C on September 14–15 under clear skies and light southerly flow, but northeasterly winds are expected to strengthen on the 16th, advecting cooler continental air while skies remain mostly clear. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight, supporting lows in the mid-teens Celsius consistent with historical September averages of about 15.4°C. The tightly matched market-implied odds around 16°C or below versus much warmer thresholds capture lingering model spread in exact minimum values, driven by small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs. Clear, dry conditions increase the chance of stronger nocturnal cooling, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could keep temperatures several degrees milder. The next 24–48 hours of updated model guidance and official AEMET briefings will likely narrow this range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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