Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models show Manila under the influence of the intertropical convergence zone and localized thunderstorms on September 17, with expected overnight lows near 25–26 °C amid high humidity and extensive cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies tend to limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures closer to the seasonal September average of roughly 25 °C rather than allowing sharper drops. A distant tropical depression east of the archipelago exerts little direct steering or cooling effect, while moderate El Niño conditions contribute to slightly elevated baseline warmth. Model consensus points to a narrow diurnal range, creating genuine uncertainty around whether the lowest reading will settle near 25 °C or edge into adjacent bins, which explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the overnight temperature trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
20°C or below 78%
30°C or higher 68%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
78%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
25%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
29%
27°C
22%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C or higher
68%
20°C or below 78%
30°C or higher 68%
21°C 39%
22°C 39%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
78%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$80 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
39%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models show Manila under the influence of the intertropical convergence zone and localized thunderstorms on September 17, with expected overnight lows near 25–26 °C amid high humidity and extensive cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies tend to limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures closer to the seasonal September average of roughly 25 °C rather than allowing sharper drops. A distant tropical depression east of the archipelago exerts little direct steering or cooling effect, while moderate El Niño conditions contribute to slightly elevated baseline warmth. Model consensus points to a narrow diurnal range, creating genuine uncertainty around whether the lowest reading will settle near 25 °C or edge into adjacent bins, which explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the overnight temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$80Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models show Manila under the influence of the intertropical convergence zone and localized thunderstorms on September 17, with expected overnight lows near 25–26 °C amid high humidity and extensive cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies tend to limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures closer to the seasonal September average of roughly 25 °C rather than allowing sharper drops. A distant tropical depression east of the archipelago exerts little direct steering or cooling effect, while moderate El Niño conditions contribute to slightly elevated baseline warmth. Model consensus points to a narrow diurnal range, creating genuine uncertainty around whether the lowest reading will settle near 25 °C or edge into adjacent bins, which explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the overnight temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and multiple models show Manila under the influence of the intertropical convergence zone and localized thunderstorms on September 17, with expected overnight lows near 25–26 °C amid high humidity and extensive cloud cover. Persistent rain and overcast skies tend to limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures closer to the seasonal September average of roughly 25 °C rather than allowing sharper drops. A distant tropical depression east of the archipelago exerts little direct steering or cooling effect, while moderate El Niño conditions contribute to slightly elevated baseline warmth. Model consensus points to a narrow diurnal range, creating genuine uncertainty around whether the lowest reading will settle near 25 °C or edge into adjacent bins, which explains the tightly matched market-implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the overnight temperature trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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