Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 28?
9°C 96%
6°C or below 11%
7°C 9%
8°C <1%
$3,198 Vol.
$3,198 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
11%
7°C
9%
8°C
1%
9°C
96%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 96%
6°C or below 11%
7°C 9%
8°C <1%
$3,198 Vol.
$3,198 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$177 Vol.
11%
7°C
$115 Vol.
9%
8°C
$911 Vol.
1%
9°C
$236 Vol.
96%
10°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$183 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$897 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,198Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,198Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center project a nighttime low of 9°C in Moscow on August 28 under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with the 95.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent model runs and regional guidance converge on 8–10°C overnight readings after daytime highs near 20°C, consistent with cooler-than-average late-summer conditions. Traders appear to treat the consensus forecast and historical measurement practices at official stations as the dominant resolution driver. A meaningful shift would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or station-specific anomaly pushing the verified minimum below 7°C or above 10°C before midnight local time.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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