Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle between 10–12°C amid a shift to westerly flow and increased cloud cover, tempering radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from a warmer September 10 high near 23–25°C. Historical September averages place the typical minimum near 8–9°C, but current steering patterns and light precipitation potential support a slightly milder floor. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, with any late-model adjustments to wind or timing capable of shifting the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 11?
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
16%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
1%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
16%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 11 will likely settle between 10–12°C amid a shift to westerly flow and increased cloud cover, tempering radiative cooling compared to clearer prior nights. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from a warmer September 10 high near 23–25°C. Historical September averages place the typical minimum near 8–9°C, but current steering patterns and light precipitation potential support a slightly milder floor. Resolution hinges on the official station reading, with any late-model adjustments to wind or timing capable of shifting the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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