Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show NYC's minimum temperature on June 14 hovering near 70–74°F, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention that can elevate overnight lows by 2–4°F relative to surrounding areas. Official observations at Central Park will resolve the market, where even small shifts in dew point or radiative cooling overnight can swing the reading across the tightly clustered 68–77°F bins holding the bulk of trader probability. Historical June climatology places average daily minima around 64–68°F, yet recent high-pressure patterns have supported warmer baselines, keeping lower outcomes below 10% implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 13%
76-77°F 12.1%
$12,455 Vol.
$12,455 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 23%
74-75°F 13%
76-77°F 12.1%
$12,455 Vol.
$12,455 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show NYC's minimum temperature on June 14 hovering near 70–74°F, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover, light winds, and urban heat retention that can elevate overnight lows by 2–4°F relative to surrounding areas. Official observations at Central Park will resolve the market, where even small shifts in dew point or radiative cooling overnight can swing the reading across the tightly clustered 68–77°F bins holding the bulk of trader probability. Historical June climatology places average daily minima around 64–68°F, yet recent high-pressure patterns have supported warmer baselines, keeping lower outcomes below 10% implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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