Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon of 23–26°C on August 28, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 23–25°C, and light easterly winds are expected to limit radiational cooling after any daytime showers, keeping the diurnal range modest. Model consensus shows only minor spread in minimum timing and intensity, with precipitation probability around 40–65% potentially adding further insulation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between possible brief clear spells allowing slightly lower readings versus sustained moisture and weak advection holding temperatures higher, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 28?
25°C 43%
24°C 35%
26°C 30%
22°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
23%
24°C
35%
25°C
43%
26°C
30%
27°C
23%
28°C
9%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 43%
24°C 35%
26°C 30%
22°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$22 Vol.
3%
20°C
$22 Vol.
1%
21°C
$22 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
25%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
23%
28°C
$43 Vol.
9%
29°C or higher
$22 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon of 23–26°C on August 28, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 23–25°C, and light easterly winds are expected to limit radiational cooling after any daytime showers, keeping the diurnal range modest. Model consensus shows only minor spread in minimum timing and intensity, with precipitation probability around 40–65% potentially adding further insulation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between possible brief clear spells allowing slightly lower readings versus sustained moisture and weak advection holding temperatures higher, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$130Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon of 23–26°C on August 28, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 23–25°C, and light easterly winds are expected to limit radiational cooling after any daytime showers, keeping the diurnal range modest. Model consensus shows only minor spread in minimum timing and intensity, with precipitation probability around 40–65% potentially adding further insulation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between possible brief clear spells allowing slightly lower readings versus sustained moisture and weak advection holding temperatures higher, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models point to overnight lows in Seoul-Incheon of 23–26°C on August 28, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–26°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 23–25°C, and light easterly winds are expected to limit radiational cooling after any daytime showers, keeping the diurnal range modest. Model consensus shows only minor spread in minimum timing and intensity, with precipitation probability around 40–65% potentially adding further insulation. Traders appear to weigh the balance between possible brief clear spells allowing slightly lower readings versus sustained moisture and weak advection holding temperatures higher, with fresh model runs and KMA updates likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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