**Forecast consensus from major models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Incheon on September 3, 2026, as northerly flow under high pressure promotes clear skies and modest overnight radiative cooling.** Daytime highs are expected near 28–30°C with dew points around 18–20°C, keeping humidity from driving temperatures much lower while limiting extreme drops. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this range, though small shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines for the region average 18–20°C overnight lows, but the current pattern supports slightly milder readings. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against typical forecast spread near the event, producing closely matched probabilities across the 20–25°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
25°C or higher 48%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
18°C 24%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
24%
19°C
16%
20°C
17%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
48%
25°C or higher 48%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
18°C 24%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
24%
19°C
16%
20°C
17%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from major models points to a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Incheon on September 3, 2026, as northerly flow under high pressure promotes clear skies and modest overnight radiative cooling.** Daytime highs are expected near 28–30°C with dew points around 18–20°C, keeping humidity from driving temperatures much lower while limiting extreme drops. Recent model runs show tight agreement on this range, though small shifts in wind direction or residual moisture could nudge the low by 1–2°C. Historical early-September baselines for the region average 18–20°C overnight lows, but the current pattern supports slightly milder readings. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against typical forecast spread near the event, producing closely matched probabilities across the 20–25°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and official Korea Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine resolution odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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