Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C, consistent with early-summer climatology featuring average lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show temperatures holding in the low 20s Celsius overnight, supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C as traders incorporate real-time station data and short-range guidance. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward 19°C, though current atmospheric moisture and cloud cover make larger deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$58,503 Vol.
$58,503 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$58,503 Vol.
$58,503 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
17°C or below
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,583 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,780 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5,350 Vol.
99%
21°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$6,849 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$7,623 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,799 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,679 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,257 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$2,811 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C, consistent with early-summer climatology featuring average lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show temperatures holding in the low 20s Celsius overnight, supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C as traders incorporate real-time station data and short-range guidance. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward 19°C, though current atmospheric moisture and cloud cover make larger deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$58,503Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C, consistent with early-summer climatology featuring average lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show temperatures holding in the low 20s Celsius overnight, supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C as traders incorporate real-time station data and short-range guidance. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward 19°C, though current atmospheric moisture and cloud cover make larger deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58,503Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 14 will reach approximately 20°C, consistent with early-summer climatology featuring average lows near 20–22°C amid high humidity, light southerly flow, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent observations show temperatures holding in the low 20s Celsius overnight, supporting the market’s 99.4% implied probability for exactly 20°C as traders incorporate real-time station data and short-range guidance. Clearer skies or a temporary wind shift could allow modest additional cooling toward 19°C, though current atmospheric moisture and cloud cover make larger deviations unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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