**Trader consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature in Singapore on August 27, 2026, stems from persistent southwest monsoon conditions that maintain elevated nighttime minima across the island.** Recent observations from Changi and other stations show overnight lows holding in the 25–28°C range, with August 26 recording a minimum of 25.4°C and current model guidance for the 27th pointing to a floor near 26–27°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and light southeast winds. Historical climatology supports this positioning, as mean daily minima in August average 25.3°C, rarely falling below 24°C without significant synoptic disruption. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects the low likelihood of rapid cooling in Singapore’s stable tropical environment. An unexpected surge in convective activity or a temporary wind shift could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C or lower, though forecast consensus from regional models shows no such development before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Singapore on August 27?
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$14,615 Vol.
$14,615 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$14,615 Vol.
$14,615 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus on 26°C as the lowest temperature in Singapore on August 27, 2026, stems from persistent southwest monsoon conditions that maintain elevated nighttime minima across the island.** Recent observations from Changi and other stations show overnight lows holding in the 25–28°C range, with August 26 recording a minimum of 25.4°C and current model guidance for the 27th pointing to a floor near 26–27°C amid high humidity (70–90%) and light southeast winds. Historical climatology supports this positioning, as mean daily minima in August average 25.3°C, rarely falling below 24°C without significant synoptic disruption. The overwhelming market-implied probability reflects the low likelihood of rapid cooling in Singapore’s stable tropical environment. An unexpected surge in convective activity or a temporary wind shift could theoretically allow a dip to 25°C or lower, though forecast consensus from regional models shows no such development before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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