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icon for Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?

Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?

icon for Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?

Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?

26°C 22%

24°C 12%

25°C 7.4%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$5,468 Vol.

26°C 22%

24°C 12%

25°C 7.4%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$5,468 Vol.

22°C or below

$732 Vol.

1%

23°C

$82 Vol.

1%

24°C

$104 Vol.

12%

25°C

$423 Vol.

7%

26°C

$150 Vol.

22%

27°C

$140 Vol.

-

28°C

$271 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$165 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$1,712 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$184 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$1,505 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, at 62.5% implied probability.** This aligns closely with the latest forecast consensus from meteorological sources, which project an overnight or early-morning minimum near 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley. Forecasts from agencies and models consistently indicate daytime highs reaching 35–36°C before gradual cooling after sunset, with the daily minimum expected around 27–29°C. Some runs show potential for brief dips toward 26°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen slightly overnight, supporting the secondary 26°C outcome at 11%. Lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited model support for stronger cooling on this date, as the main frontal influence and associated rain are not anticipated until August 29–30. The strong positioning of 27°C stems from stable atmospheric conditions persisting through the day, consistent with official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities and international models. No major forecast revisions have shifted the expected minimum range in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader focus on the 27°C threshold as the most likely resolution point.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,468
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, at 62.5% implied probability.** This aligns closely with the latest forecast consensus from meteorological sources, which project an overnight or early-morning minimum near 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley. Forecasts from agencies and models consistently indicate daytime highs reaching 35–36°C before gradual cooling after sunset, with the daily minimum expected around 27–29°C. Some runs show potential for brief dips toward 26°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen slightly overnight, supporting the secondary 26°C outcome at 11%. Lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited model support for stronger cooling on this date, as the main frontal influence and associated rain are not anticipated until August 29–30. The strong positioning of 27°C stems from stable atmospheric conditions persisting through the day, consistent with official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities and international models. No major forecast revisions have shifted the expected minimum range in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader focus on the 27°C threshold as the most likely resolution point.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,468
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "27°C" di 63%, diikuti oleh "26°C" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 63¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 26, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?" adalah "27°C" di 63%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 63% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "26°C" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.