**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, at 62.5% implied probability.** This aligns closely with the latest forecast consensus from meteorological sources, which project an overnight or early-morning minimum near 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley. Forecasts from agencies and models consistently indicate daytime highs reaching 35–36°C before gradual cooling after sunset, with the daily minimum expected around 27–29°C. Some runs show potential for brief dips toward 26°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen slightly overnight, supporting the secondary 26°C outcome at 11%. Lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited model support for stronger cooling on this date, as the main frontal influence and associated rain are not anticipated until August 29–30. The strong positioning of 27°C stems from stable atmospheric conditions persisting through the day, consistent with official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities and international models. No major forecast revisions have shifted the expected minimum range in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader focus on the 27°C threshold as the most likely resolution point.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28?
26°C 22%
24°C 12%
25°C 7.4%
23°C <1%
$5,468 Vol.
$5,468 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 22%
24°C 12%
25°C 7.4%
23°C <1%
$5,468 Vol.
$5,468 Vol.
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
12%
25°C
7%
26°C
22%
27°C
-
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 28, 2026, at 62.5% implied probability.** This aligns closely with the latest forecast consensus from meteorological sources, which project an overnight or early-morning minimum near 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and high humidity typical of late-summer subtropical conditions in the Yangtze River valley. Forecasts from agencies and models consistently indicate daytime highs reaching 35–36°C before gradual cooling after sunset, with the daily minimum expected around 27–29°C. Some runs show potential for brief dips toward 26°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen slightly overnight, supporting the secondary 26°C outcome at 11%. Lower probabilities for 25°C or below reflect limited model support for stronger cooling on this date, as the main frontal influence and associated rain are not anticipated until August 29–30. The strong positioning of 27°C stems from stable atmospheric conditions persisting through the day, consistent with official guidance from Chinese meteorological authorities and international models. No major forecast revisions have shifted the expected minimum range in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader focus on the 27°C threshold as the most likely resolution point.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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