Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field for the October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) leading first-round intentions around 34% and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) near 26%, alongside support for figures such as Natasha Slhessarenko and lower-polling contenders including military and local candidates. High undecided shares near 25% and ongoing coalition negotiations sustain uncertainty, keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered among the top names rather than consolidating behind one frontrunner. Second-round simulations favor Fagundes, yet the multi-candidate structure, regional agribusiness dynamics, and late alliance shifts could still alter first-round margins or force runoffs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWellington Fagundes 42%
Mauricio Coelho 28%
Sargento Laudicério 23%
Otaviano Pivetta 22%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
42%
Mauricio Coelho
28%
Sargento Laudicério
23%
Otaviano Pivetta
22%
Rafaell Milas
8%
Doutora Natasha
44%
Wellington Fagundes 42%
Mauricio Coelho 28%
Sargento Laudicério 23%
Otaviano Pivetta 22%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
$62 Vol.
42%
Mauricio Coelho
$46 Vol.
28%
Sargento Laudicério
$0 Vol.
23%
Otaviano Pivetta
$21 Vol.
22%
Rafaell Milas
$0 Vol.
8%
Doutora Natasha
$46 Vol.
44%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field for the October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) leading first-round intentions around 34% and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) near 26%, alongside support for figures such as Natasha Slhessarenko and lower-polling contenders including military and local candidates. High undecided shares near 25% and ongoing coalition negotiations sustain uncertainty, keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered among the top names rather than consolidating behind one frontrunner. Second-round simulations favor Fagundes, yet the multi-candidate structure, regional agribusiness dynamics, and late alliance shifts could still alter first-round margins or force runoffs.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Volume
$175Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field for the October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) leading first-round intentions around 34% and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) near 26%, alongside support for figures such as Natasha Slhessarenko and lower-polling contenders including military and local candidates. High undecided shares near 25% and ongoing coalition negotiations sustain uncertainty, keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered among the top names rather than consolidating behind one frontrunner. Second-round simulations favor Fagundes, yet the multi-candidate structure, regional agribusiness dynamics, and late alliance shifts could still alter first-round margins or force runoffs.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$175Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mato Grosso shows a fragmented field for the October 4, 2026 gubernatorial election, with Wellington Fagundes (PL) leading first-round intentions around 34% and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) near 26%, alongside support for figures such as Natasha Slhessarenko and lower-polling contenders including military and local candidates. High undecided shares near 25% and ongoing coalition negotiations sustain uncertainty, keeping trader-implied probabilities clustered among the top names rather than consolidating behind one frontrunner. Second-round simulations favor Fagundes, yet the multi-candidate structure, regional agribusiness dynamics, and late alliance shifts could still alter first-round margins or force runoffs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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