Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, where all major nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and statewide contests, reinforced by Tenney’s uncontested primary and established fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that ranks as New York’s most Republican-leaning. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 92.5% reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,538 Vol.
$20,538 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$20,538 Vol.
$20,538 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$10,918 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$9,620 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, where all major nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and statewide contests, reinforced by Tenney’s uncontested primary and established fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that ranks as New York’s most Republican-leaning. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 92.5% reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$20,538Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, where all major nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and statewide contests, reinforced by Tenney’s uncontested primary and established fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that ranks as New York’s most Republican-leaning. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 92.5% reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,538Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Claudia Tenney holds a commanding position in New York’s 24th congressional district, where all major nonpartisan rating outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential and statewide contests, reinforced by Tenney’s uncontested primary and established fundraising edge. Democratic nominee Alissa Ellman, who prevailed in her June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that ranks as New York’s most Republican-leaning. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 92.5% reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
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