Paraná’s 2026 Senate contest for second place remains tightly contested because the withdrawal of early polling leader Álvaro Dias (MDB) on August 3 opened the field among several viable contenders, including Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Cristina Graeml (PSD), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo). Recent Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys show these names clustered in the low-to-mid teens once first-place preferences are consolidated, reflecting a fragmented electorate, split right-of-center vote, and dual-seat mechanics that reward distinct first- and second-choice ballots. Trader consensus around 20–29% probabilities for the top-listed candidates captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on party conventions, fresh statewide polling, endorsements from the governor, or late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the October general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGleisi 28%
Alexandre Curi 24%
Cristina Reis Graeml 24%
Dr. Rosinha 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Gleisi
28%
Alexandre Curi
24%
Cristina Reis Graeml
24%
Dr. Rosinha
24%
Joaquim do MLB
23%
Filipe Barros
21%
Karen Guerreiro
21%
Deltan Dallagnol
20%
Marcelo Marcelino
10%
Gleisi 28%
Alexandre Curi 24%
Cristina Reis Graeml 24%
Dr. Rosinha 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Gleisi
$0 Vol.
28%
Alexandre Curi
$0 Vol.
24%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$0 Vol.
24%
Dr. Rosinha
$21 Vol.
24%
Joaquim do MLB
$50 Vol.
23%
Filipe Barros
$0 Vol.
21%
Karen Guerreiro
$66 Vol.
21%
Deltan Dallagnol
$0 Vol.
20%
Marcelo Marcelino
$20 Vol.
10%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Paraná’s 2026 Senate contest for second place remains tightly contested because the withdrawal of early polling leader Álvaro Dias (MDB) on August 3 opened the field among several viable contenders, including Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Cristina Graeml (PSD), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo). Recent Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys show these names clustered in the low-to-mid teens once first-place preferences are consolidated, reflecting a fragmented electorate, split right-of-center vote, and dual-seat mechanics that reward distinct first- and second-choice ballots. Trader consensus around 20–29% probabilities for the top-listed candidates captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on party conventions, fresh statewide polling, endorsements from the governor, or late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$156Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Paraná’s 2026 Senate contest for second place remains tightly contested because the withdrawal of early polling leader Álvaro Dias (MDB) on August 3 opened the field among several viable contenders, including Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Cristina Graeml (PSD), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo). Recent Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys show these names clustered in the low-to-mid teens once first-place preferences are consolidated, reflecting a fragmented electorate, split right-of-center vote, and dual-seat mechanics that reward distinct first- and second-choice ballots. Trader consensus around 20–29% probabilities for the top-listed candidates captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on party conventions, fresh statewide polling, endorsements from the governor, or late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the October general election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$156Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Paraná’s 2026 Senate contest for second place remains tightly contested because the withdrawal of early polling leader Álvaro Dias (MDB) on August 3 opened the field among several viable contenders, including Gleisi Hoffmann (PT), Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Cristina Graeml (PSD), Filipe Barros (PL), and Deltan Dallagnol (Novo). Recent Genial/Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys show these names clustered in the low-to-mid teens once first-place preferences are consolidated, reflecting a fragmented electorate, split right-of-center vote, and dual-seat mechanics that reward distinct first- and second-choice ballots. Trader consensus around 20–29% probabilities for the top-listed candidates captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on party conventions, fresh statewide polling, endorsements from the governor, or late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs before the October general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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