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icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politik·Brasil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Linhares Jiboia 19%

Styvenson Valentim 18%

Rosália Fernandes 17%

Samanda de Lula 16%

Polymarket
BARU

Linhares Jiboia 19%

Styvenson Valentim 18%

Rosália Fernandes 17%

Samanda de Lula 16%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$46 Vol.

19%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$46 Vol.

18%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$46 Vol.

17%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$46 Vol.

16%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$46 Vol.

16%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$46 Vol.

16%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$46 Vol.

16%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$46 Vol.

14%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$46 Vol.

14%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$46 Vol.

14%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$46 Vol.

14%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$46 Vol.

14%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$46 Vol.

13%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$46 Vol.

13%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Rio Grande do Norte’s two Senate seats, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a narrow lead and several challengers—including Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT)—within the margin of error for the remaining spots. This closeness, combined with Zenaide Maia’s (PSD) established incumbency and multiple additional pre-candidates such as Tércio Tinoco and Luciana Mandu, keeps second-place positioning highly uncertain ahead of the official campaign start on August 16. Voter intentions remain fluid across opposition and government-aligned blocs, with no dominant consolidation yet evident in surveys. Trader consensus therefore reflects the potential for late shifts from alliances, turnout patterns, or further polling releases before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$642
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows a fragmented field for Rio Grande do Norte’s two Senate seats, with incumbent Styvenson Valentim (Podemos) holding a narrow lead and several challengers—including Samanda Alves (PT), Coronel Hélio (PL), and Rafael Motta (PDT)—within the margin of error for the remaining spots. This closeness, combined with Zenaide Maia’s (PSD) established incumbency and multiple additional pre-candidates such as Tércio Tinoco and Luciana Mandu, keeps second-place positioning highly uncertain ahead of the official campaign start on August 16. Voter intentions remain fluid across opposition and government-aligned blocs, with no dominant consolidation yet evident in surveys. Trader consensus therefore reflects the potential for late shifts from alliances, turnout patterns, or further polling releases before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$642
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Terkait

icon for Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Zenaide Maia win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

44%
icon for Will Renato Jaguarão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Renato Jaguarão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

42%
icon for Will Ric Jones win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Ric Jones win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

23%

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Linhares Jiboia" di 19%, diikuti oleh "Styvenson Valentim" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 19¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 17, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" adalah "Linhares Jiboia" di 19%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 19% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Styvenson Valentim" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.