Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40% range as of early September 2026, with most reputable trackers clustering near 38%. This positioning reflects a steady multi-month decline driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, including inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and the effects of the ongoing conflict with Iran on energy prices and trade policy. Recent individual surveys have shown occasional dips into the low 30s, while aggregates have remained more stable near the upper end of that band. With only two days until the September 11 measurement date and no major scheduled events expected to shift sentiment sharply, traders’ heaviest weighting on the 38.0–38.4 interval aligns with the current consensus across sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui38.0–38.4 52%
38.5–38.9 29%
37.5–37.9 15%
39.0–39.4 7%
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
15%
38.0–38.4
52%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0–39.4
7%
39.5+
1%
38.0–38.4 52%
38.5–38.9 29%
37.5–37.9 15%
39.0–39.4 7%
<37.5
<1%
37.5–37.9
15%
38.0–38.4
52%
38.5–38.9
29%
39.0–39.4
7%
39.5+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40% range as of early September 2026, with most reputable trackers clustering near 38%. This positioning reflects a steady multi-month decline driven primarily by voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions, including inflation, cost-of-living pressures, and the effects of the ongoing conflict with Iran on energy prices and trade policy. Recent individual surveys have shown occasional dips into the low 30s, while aggregates have remained more stable near the upper end of that band. With only two days until the September 11 measurement date and no major scheduled events expected to shift sentiment sharply, traders’ heaviest weighting on the 38.0–38.4 interval aligns with the current consensus across sources such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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