Trump’s pattern of direct public statements on Truth Social, at rallies, and during press interactions continues to shape expectations for this market. As of early September 2026, ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges and economic pressure have generated frequent presidential commentary labeling Iran a “failed nation” and responding to media reports on policy. Recent weeks have also featured repeated criticisms of specific reporters and lawmakers, including Ilhan Omar, Adam Schiff, and several network correspondents. Traders monitor scheduled appearances, breaking news cycles, and any escalation in the Middle East or domestic political disputes through the September 30 resolution window, as these routinely produce verifiable public remarks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$19,793 Vol.

Barack Obama
97%

Kathy Hochul
93%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
79%

Letitia James
76%

Jimmy Kimmel
76%

Tucker Carlson
72%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
72%

Mark Carney
72%

J.B. Pritzker
71%

Abdul El-Sayed
69%

Ilhan Omar
69%

Jon Ossoff
60%

Hillary Clinton
57%

Adam Schiff
53%

Stephen Colbert
37%

Melania Trump
34%

Kaitlan Collins
34%

Elizabeth Warren
28%

Zohran Mamdani
28%

Jerome Powell
24%

Kevin Warsh
21%

Vladimir Putin
19%

Benjamin Netanyahu
18%

Elon Musk
18%

Emmanuel Macron
18%

Candace Owens
15%

Friedrich Merz
14%

Alex Jones
11%

Norah O'Donnell
11%

Megyn Kelly
11%

Xi Jinping
8%

Pope Leo XIV
7%

Pam Bondi
5%

Karoline Leavitt
5%

J.D. Vance
4%

Mohammed bin Salman
2%

Andy Burnham
32%
$19,793 Vol.

Barack Obama
97%

Kathy Hochul
93%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
79%

Letitia James
76%

Jimmy Kimmel
76%

Tucker Carlson
72%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
72%

Mark Carney
72%

J.B. Pritzker
71%

Abdul El-Sayed
69%

Ilhan Omar
69%

Jon Ossoff
60%

Hillary Clinton
57%

Adam Schiff
53%

Stephen Colbert
37%

Melania Trump
34%

Kaitlan Collins
34%

Elizabeth Warren
28%

Zohran Mamdani
28%

Jerome Powell
24%

Kevin Warsh
21%

Vladimir Putin
19%

Benjamin Netanyahu
18%

Elon Musk
18%

Emmanuel Macron
18%

Candace Owens
15%

Friedrich Merz
14%

Alex Jones
11%

Norah O'Donnell
11%

Megyn Kelly
11%

Xi Jinping
8%

Pope Leo XIV
7%

Pam Bondi
5%

Karoline Leavitt
5%

J.D. Vance
4%

Mohammed bin Salman
2%

Andy Burnham
32%
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s pattern of direct public statements on Truth Social, at rallies, and during press interactions continues to shape expectations for this market. As of early September 2026, ongoing U.S.-Iran military exchanges and economic pressure have generated frequent presidential commentary labeling Iran a “failed nation” and responding to media reports on policy. Recent weeks have also featured repeated criticisms of specific reporters and lawmakers, including Ilhan Omar, Adam Schiff, and several network correspondents. Traders monitor scheduled appearances, breaking news cycles, and any escalation in the Middle East or domestic political disputes through the September 30 resolution window, as these routinely produce verifiable public remarks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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