Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages near 39% and net figures between -17 and -32 points as of late August 2026. Persistent concerns over the ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, combined with weak ratings on prices, inflation, and the broader economy, continue to weigh on overall sentiment and contribute to the clustering of trader probabilities around the 38.0–38.9 range. Rasmussen Reports has shown modestly higher readings near 43%, while Reuters/Ipsos and similar surveys register lower totals near 33–37%, illustrating typical pollster variance that sustains a narrow distribution ahead of the September 4 resolution. Any fresh polling releases or sudden shifts in foreign-policy or economic indicators within the next several days could widen separation among the leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui38.5–38.9 32%
38.0–38.4 28%
39.0+ 23%
37.5–37.9 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
4%
37.0–37.4
6%
37.5–37.9
16%
38.0–38.4
28%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0+
23%
38.5–38.9 32%
38.0–38.4 28%
39.0+ 23%
37.5–37.9 16%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
<37.0
$41 Vol.
4%
37.0–37.4
$21 Vol.
6%
37.5–37.9
$41 Vol.
16%
38.0–38.4
$21 Vol.
28%
38.5–38.9
$176 Vol.
32%
39.0+
$26 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages near 39% and net figures between -17 and -32 points as of late August 2026. Persistent concerns over the ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, combined with weak ratings on prices, inflation, and the broader economy, continue to weigh on overall sentiment and contribute to the clustering of trader probabilities around the 38.0–38.9 range. Rasmussen Reports has shown modestly higher readings near 43%, while Reuters/Ipsos and similar surveys register lower totals near 33–37%, illustrating typical pollster variance that sustains a narrow distribution ahead of the September 4 resolution. Any fresh polling releases or sudden shifts in foreign-policy or economic indicators within the next several days could widen separation among the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$326Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages near 39% and net figures between -17 and -32 points as of late August 2026. Persistent concerns over the ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, combined with weak ratings on prices, inflation, and the broader economy, continue to weigh on overall sentiment and contribute to the clustering of trader probabilities around the 38.0–38.9 range. Rasmussen Reports has shown modestly higher readings near 43%, while Reuters/Ipsos and similar surveys register lower totals near 33–37%, illustrating typical pollster variance that sustains a narrow distribution ahead of the September 4 resolution. Any fresh polling releases or sudden shifts in foreign-policy or economic indicators within the next several days could widen separation among the leading bins.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$326Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with averages near 39% and net figures between -17 and -32 points as of late August 2026. Persistent concerns over the ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict, combined with weak ratings on prices, inflation, and the broader economy, continue to weigh on overall sentiment and contribute to the clustering of trader probabilities around the 38.0–38.9 range. Rasmussen Reports has shown modestly higher readings near 43%, while Reuters/Ipsos and similar surveys register lower totals near 33–37%, illustrating typical pollster variance that sustains a narrow distribution ahead of the September 4 resolution. Any fresh polling releases or sudden shifts in foreign-policy or economic indicators within the next several days could widen separation among the leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan