Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and Israel-Lebanon border frictions continue to shape U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. In February 2026 the State Department ordered non-essential personnel and families to depart the embassy amid escalation risks tied to U.S.-Israel actions against Iran, leaving only core staff while maintaining operations and issuing Level 4 travel advisories. By late August 2026, with immediate conflict risks receding, the department began planning staff returns to the Beirut mission and other regional posts, though family restrictions and reduced capacity initially remain in place. A September 1 security alert highlighted potential flight disruptions and targeting risks from Iran-aligned groups but confirmed routine consular services continue. Scheduled diplomatic adjustments and any renewed Hezbollah-Israel exchanges or Iranian retaliation within the resolution window remain the key variables for traders assessing evacuation thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,085 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
10%
$119,085 Vol.
December 31
$24,983 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and Israel-Lebanon border frictions continue to shape U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. In February 2026 the State Department ordered non-essential personnel and families to depart the embassy amid escalation risks tied to U.S.-Israel actions against Iran, leaving only core staff while maintaining operations and issuing Level 4 travel advisories. By late August 2026, with immediate conflict risks receding, the department began planning staff returns to the Beirut mission and other regional posts, though family restrictions and reduced capacity initially remain in place. A September 1 security alert highlighted potential flight disruptions and targeting risks from Iran-aligned groups but confirmed routine consular services continue. Scheduled diplomatic adjustments and any renewed Hezbollah-Israel exchanges or Iranian retaliation within the resolution window remain the key variables for traders assessing evacuation thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$119,085Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and Israel-Lebanon border frictions continue to shape U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. In February 2026 the State Department ordered non-essential personnel and families to depart the embassy amid escalation risks tied to U.S.-Israel actions against Iran, leaving only core staff while maintaining operations and issuing Level 4 travel advisories. By late August 2026, with immediate conflict risks receding, the department began planning staff returns to the Beirut mission and other regional posts, though family restrictions and reduced capacity initially remain in place. A September 1 security alert highlighted potential flight disruptions and targeting risks from Iran-aligned groups but confirmed routine consular services continue. Scheduled diplomatic adjustments and any renewed Hezbollah-Israel exchanges or Iranian retaliation within the resolution window remain the key variables for traders assessing evacuation thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Volume
$119,085Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions involving Iran, Hezbollah, and Israel-Lebanon border frictions continue to shape U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. In February 2026 the State Department ordered non-essential personnel and families to depart the embassy amid escalation risks tied to U.S.-Israel actions against Iran, leaving only core staff while maintaining operations and issuing Level 4 travel advisories. By late August 2026, with immediate conflict risks receding, the department began planning staff returns to the Beirut mission and other regional posts, though family restrictions and reduced capacity initially remain in place. A September 1 security alert highlighted potential flight disruptions and targeting risks from Iran-aligned groups but confirmed routine consular services continue. Scheduled diplomatic adjustments and any renewed Hezbollah-Israel exchanges or Iranian retaliation within the resolution window remain the key variables for traders assessing evacuation thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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