Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiYa
$1,332,685 Vol.
$1,332,685 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ya
$1,332,685 Vol.
$1,332,685 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$1,332,685Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,332,685Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman and Pakistan following the February 2026 ceasefire, have advanced framework proposals including a multi-year uranium enrichment moratorium, stockpile reductions, and IAEA verification in exchange for targeted sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. President Trump has publicly emphasized achieving terms stronger than the 2015 JCPOA, while Iranian officials counter with shorter restrictions and continued enrichment rights on their soil. Recent indirect talks in Islamabad and Geneva produced incremental progress on core issues, though disputes over ballistic missiles and past undeclared activities remain unresolved. This diplomatic momentum, tempered by mutual distrust and escalation risks, underpins trader consensus pricing a deal before 2027 at 60.5 percent for Yes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan