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Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia

icon for Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia
Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia

Bert Mizusawa 50%

Kim Farington 30.0%

David Williams 11%

Alex De Paula 2.4%

Polymarket

$2,401,693 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa 50%

Kim Farington 30.0%

David Williams 11%

Alex De Paula 2.4%

Polymarket

$2,401,693 Vol.

Bert Mizusawa

$10,770 Vol.

50%

Kim Farington

$457,223 Vol.

30%

David Williams

$14,390 Vol.

11%

Alex De Paula

$3,642 Vol.

2%

Chuck Smith

$5,076 Vol.

2%

Al Mina

$1,847,158 Vol.

1%

Winsome Earle-Sears

$11,035 Vol.

1%

Jason Miyares

$15,190 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Reeves

$37,208 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors retired Army Major General Bert Mizusawa at 52% implied probability to win Virginia's Republican US Senate primary on August 4, driven by his early polling edge and fundraising strength amid a fragmented, low-name-recognition field. A May 1-5 Public Sentiment Institute poll of likely voters showed Mizusawa leading Kim Farington 23.5%-22.3%, with David Williams at 10.1% and substantial undecideds likely to break toward the West Point graduate's national security credentials and Trump-aligned profile. Q1 fundraising reports highlight Mizusawa's $190K haul versus Farington's $125K and Williams' $50K, positioning him for primary consolidation. No major statewide Republicans like Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears or AG Jason Miyares entered, keeping odds low for others; upcoming debates or endorsements could shift dynamics before early voting begins June 19.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,401,693
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors retired Army Major General Bert Mizusawa at 52% implied probability to win Virginia's Republican US Senate primary on August 4, driven by his early polling edge and fundraising strength amid a fragmented, low-name-recognition field. A May 1-5 Public Sentiment Institute poll of likely voters showed Mizusawa leading Kim Farington 23.5%-22.3%, with David Williams at 10.1% and substantial undecideds likely to break toward the West Point graduate's national security credentials and Trump-aligned profile. Q1 fundraising reports highlight Mizusawa's $190K haul versus Farington's $125K and Williams' $50K, positioning him for primary consolidation. No major statewide Republicans like Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears or AG Jason Miyares entered, keeping odds low for others; upcoming debates or endorsements could shift dynamics before early voting begins June 19.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.

If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,401,693
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 26, 2025, 6:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Bert Mizusawa" di 50%, diikuti oleh "Kim Farington" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 50¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" telah menghasilkan $2.4 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 27, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" adalah "Bert Mizusawa" di 50%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kim Farington" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Senat Republik Virginia" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.