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Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?

<$554k 93%

$554k - $558k 4.0%

>$572k 2.2%

$562k - $566k 2.0%

Polymarket
BARU

<$554k 93%

$554k - $558k 4.0%

>$572k 2.2%

$562k - $566k 2.0%

Polymarket
BARU

<$554k

$1,895 Vol.

93%

$554k - $558k

$163 Vol.

4%

$558k - $562k

$161 Vol.

2%

$562k - $566k

$221 Vol.

2%

$566k - $570k

$188 Vol.

2%

$570k - $572k

$124 Vol.

1%

>$572k

$179 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volume
$2,930
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases show softening median home values across the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro area, with Zillow reporting an average of $581,881 for the District proper as of late May 2026, down 2.8% year-over-year, alongside Redfin figures indicating modest declines in sale prices amid elevated days on market. Increased active listings—up sharply from prior periods—combined with mortgage rates holding near 6% have boosted buyer negotiating leverage and contributed to price concessions, reinforcing trader consensus around outcomes below $554,000. Seasonal patterns and federal workforce-related demand uncertainty add further downside pressure into the June 30 resolution, though any surprise inventory contraction or rate relief could still shift near-term pricing dynamics. Aggregated Polymarket positioning reflects this data-driven caution in real-capital terms.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Volume
$2,930
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "<$554k" di 93%, diikuti oleh "$554k - $558k" di 4%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 93¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 93% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 1, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" adalah "<$554k" di 93%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 93% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$554k - $558k" di 4%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.