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Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?
Ekonomi·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?

$433k - $435k 55%

$435k - $437k 40%

$437k - $439k 14%

$431k - $433k 7%

Polymarket

$11,919 Vol.

$433k - $435k 55%

$435k - $437k 40%

$437k - $439k 14%

$431k - $433k 7%

Polymarket

$11,919 Vol.

<$429k

$2,317 Vol.

5%

$429k - $431k

$3,100 Vol.

4%

$431k - $433k

$2,328 Vol.

7%

$433k - $435k

$1,726 Vol.

55%

$435k - $437k

$902 Vol.

40%

$437k - $439k

$248 Vol.

9%

>$439k

$1,298 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volume
$11,919
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent U.S. housing data show median listing and sale prices clustered near $400,000–$430,000, with notable softening. Realtor.com’s May 2026 median listing price fell 2.4% year-over-year to $429,500—the steepest annual drop since 2017—while Redfin’s median sale price reached $398,771 (+2.0% YoY) and Census Bureau Q1 median sales stood at $403,200, down for five straight quarters. FHFA’s House Price Index posted only modest gains (+0.5% QoQ, +1.7% YoY) amid 6.4% 30-year mortgage rates, rising inventory, and subdued buyer demand. With resolution just days away on June 30, traders have priced the tightest probabilities around the $429k–$433k range, reflecting the latest cooling signals and limited scope for sharp upside before month-end.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volume
$11,919
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "$433k - $435k" di 56%, diikuti oleh "$435k - $437k" di 40%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" telah menghasilkan $11.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 2, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" adalah "$433k - $435k" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "$435k - $437k" di 40%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "What will the median home value in the US be on June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.