Traders assign a 90.8% implied probability that no new country will join the Abraham Accords before 2027, reflecting the short remaining timeline and stalled normalization talks with major candidates. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any agreement on a credible pathway to Palestinian statehood, a position reinforced by U.S. statements linking a civil nuclear deal to full accession. Recent diplomatic activity has centered on deepening ties with existing participants, including the September 2026 upgrade of Israel-Morocco relations to full embassies and expanded flights. Speculative comments from Israeli officials about possible Kuwaiti accession within four to six months fall largely outside the 2026 window. Absent a rapid breakthrough in bilateral or multilateral negotiations, the current diplomatic calendar and entrenched regional conditions support the prevailing market consensus.