Incumbent Civil Contract, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary elections due to structural advantages including incumbency, a fragmented opposition field, and recent polling trends showing sustained support despite lingering dissatisfaction over the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh. The party’s pivot toward European integration and a peace process with Azerbaijan has reinforced its base, while challengers such as Strong Armenia, Armenia Alliance, and Prosperous Armenia remain divided and unable to consolidate votes. With campaign activity intensifying since early May, the elevated probability reflects these dynamics. Potential shifts could still arise from high undecided voter shares, turnout variations, or last-minute developments in diplomatic or economic conditions before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoContratto Civile 92%
Armenia Forte 5.8%
Alleanza Armenia 1.5%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno <1%
$206,442 Vol.
$206,442 Vol.
7 giu 2026
Contratto Civile
92%
Armenia Forte
6%
Alleanza Armenia
2%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno
1%
Armenia Prospera
<1%
Armenia Luminosa
<1%
Alleanza Ho l'Onore
<1%
Partito Hanrapetutyun
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Contratto Civile 92%
Armenia Forte 5.8%
Alleanza Armenia 1.5%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno <1%
$206,442 Vol.
$206,442 Vol.
7 giu 2026
Contratto Civile
$64,065 Vol.
92%
Armenia Forte
$10,703 Vol.
6%
Alleanza Armenia
$59,208 Vol.
2%
Congresso Nazionale Armeno
$13,647 Vol.
1%
Armenia Prospera
$15,231 Vol.
<1%
Armenia Luminosa
$8,256 Vol.
<1%
Alleanza Ho l'Onore
$7,849 Vol.
<1%
Partito Hanrapetutyun
$8,382 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$8,752 Vol.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$10,350 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary elections due to structural advantages including incumbency, a fragmented opposition field, and recent polling trends showing sustained support despite lingering dissatisfaction over the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh. The party’s pivot toward European integration and a peace process with Azerbaijan has reinforced its base, while challengers such as Strong Armenia, Armenia Alliance, and Prosperous Armenia remain divided and unable to consolidate votes. With campaign activity intensifying since early May, the elevated probability reflects these dynamics. Potential shifts could still arise from high undecided voter shares, turnout variations, or last-minute developments in diplomatic or economic conditions before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$206,442Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary elections due to structural advantages including incumbency, a fragmented opposition field, and recent polling trends showing sustained support despite lingering dissatisfaction over the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh. The party’s pivot toward European integration and a peace process with Azerbaijan has reinforced its base, while challengers such as Strong Armenia, Armenia Alliance, and Prosperous Armenia remain divided and unable to consolidate votes. With campaign activity intensifying since early May, the elevated probability reflects these dynamics. Potential shifts could still arise from high undecided voter shares, turnout variations, or last-minute developments in diplomatic or economic conditions before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volume
$206,442Data di fine
7 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Civil Contract, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, holds a commanding position in trader consensus for Armenia’s June 7 parliamentary elections due to structural advantages including incumbency, a fragmented opposition field, and recent polling trends showing sustained support despite lingering dissatisfaction over the loss of Nagorno-Karabakh. The party’s pivot toward European integration and a peace process with Azerbaijan has reinforced its base, while challengers such as Strong Armenia, Armenia Alliance, and Prosperous Armenia remain divided and unable to consolidate votes. With campaign activity intensifying since early May, the elevated probability reflects these dynamics. Potential shifts could still arise from high undecided voter shares, turnout variations, or last-minute developments in diplomatic or economic conditions before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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