Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 2026 capture by American forces during operations in Caracas. She and Maduro face federal charges including narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons violations in the Southern District of New York, where both pleaded not guilty and a judge later denied motions to dismiss the case. No bail has been granted, and proceedings continue under special administrative measures, with the next status conference scheduled for late June. Trader assessments of release timing reflect the slow pace of federal court processes, possible plea negotiations amid reports of distancing from Maduro, and external pressures including protests in Venezuela plus diplomatic statements from Russia and China, while U.S. judicial outcomes remain the dominant factor.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa moglie di Maduro, Cilia Flores, è stata rilasciata dalla custodia da...?
$1,312,956 Vol.
31 dicembre
26%
$1,312,956 Vol.
31 dicembre
26%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores, wife of ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, has remained in U.S. pretrial detention at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center since her January 2026 capture by American forces during operations in Caracas. She and Maduro face federal charges including narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons violations in the Southern District of New York, where both pleaded not guilty and a judge later denied motions to dismiss the case. No bail has been granted, and proceedings continue under special administrative measures, with the next status conference scheduled for late June. Trader assessments of release timing reflect the slow pace of federal court processes, possible plea negotiations amid reports of distancing from Maduro, and external pressures including protests in Venezuela plus diplomatic statements from Russia and China, while U.S. judicial outcomes remain the dominant factor.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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