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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto

icon for Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto

Abelardo de la Espriella 73%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,127 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 73%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,127 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,540 Vol.

73%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,316 Vol.

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,665 Vol.

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,017 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,707 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,093 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,492 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,471 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,205 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds the strongest position to finish second in Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round because conservative voters remain divided between his far-right outsider campaign and Paloma Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center bid. Recent polls show Cepeda leading overall but below 50 percent, while de la Espriella consistently outpaces Valencia among right-leaning voters despite neither candidate participating in the March interparty primaries that boosted Valencia’s profile. Fresh reports of campaign staff killings for de la Espriella have drawn attention to security issues he emphasizes, including military strikes on armed groups and coca fumigation. Traders appear to view this right-wing fragmentation and de la Espriella’s polling edge over Valencia as the decisive factors keeping his implied probability for second place well above the rest.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,127
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds the strongest position to finish second in Colombia’s May 31 presidential first round because conservative voters remain divided between his far-right outsider campaign and Paloma Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center bid. Recent polls show Cepeda leading overall but below 50 percent, while de la Espriella consistently outpaces Valencia among right-leaning voters despite neither candidate participating in the March interparty primaries that boosted Valencia’s profile. Fresh reports of campaign staff killings for de la Espriella have drawn attention to security issues he emphasizes, including military strikes on armed groups and coca fumigation. Traders appear to view this right-wing fragmentation and de la Espriella’s polling edge over Valencia as the decisive factors keeping his implied probability for second place well above the rest.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,127
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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"Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 73%, seguito da "Paloma Valencia" a 18%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 73¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" ha generato $90.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" è "Abelardo de la Espriella" a 73%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Paloma Valencia" a 18%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni presidenziali in Colombia 1° turno: 2° posto" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.