CDC's FluView Week 18 report, released around May 10, 2026, confirms a cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate of approximately 86-87 per 100,000 population through the week ending May 9, via FluSurv-NET surveillance covering 14 states representing 9% of the U.S. population. This positions the 2025-2026 season—marked by an early H3N2 peak, shift to influenza B, and sharp decline since late April—as moderate severity, with weekly rates dropping to 0.2 per 100,000 amid low outpatient visits (1.8% ILI) and stable low test positivity (3.1%). Trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for 85-90 reflects this verified data, though preliminary figures remain subject to revisions from delayed reporting; unlikely challenges include a late B strain surge or downward adjustments to prior weeks exceeding three points. Next FluView on May 15 may refine estimates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 18, 2026?
85–90 98.1%
90–95 1.9%
80–85 <1%
<80 <1%
$13,375 Vol.
$13,375 Vol.
<80
1%
80–85
1%
85–90
98%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.1%
90–95 1.9%
80–85 <1%
<80 <1%
$13,375 Vol.
$13,375 Vol.
<80
1%
80–85
1%
85–90
98%
90–95
2%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...CDC's FluView Week 18 report, released around May 10, 2026, confirms a cumulative laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalization rate of approximately 86-87 per 100,000 population through the week ending May 9, via FluSurv-NET surveillance covering 14 states representing 9% of the U.S. population. This positions the 2025-2026 season—marked by an early H3N2 peak, shift to influenza B, and sharp decline since late April—as moderate severity, with weekly rates dropping to 0.2 per 100,000 amid low outpatient visits (1.8% ILI) and stable low test positivity (3.1%). Trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability for 85-90 reflects this verified data, though preliminary figures remain subject to revisions from delayed reporting; unlikely challenges include a late B strain surge or downward adjustments to prior weeks exceeding three points. Next FluView on May 15 may refine estimates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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