Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick's unopposed path through Georgia's May 19 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP hold in the R+11 district, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 against Democrat Bob Christian. The crowded Democratic primary—featuring immigration attorney Tony Kozycki, union technician Case Norton, retired EPA scientist Larry Long, and others—lacks a clear frontrunner, diluting resources ahead of the November 3 general election. With no recent polling but historical margins and partisan lean favoring Republicans, markets price in low upset risk barring unforeseen scandals or national shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGA-07 House Election Winner
GA-07 House Election Winner
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
14%
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick's unopposed path through Georgia's May 19 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 79% for a GOP hold in the R+11 district, where he won by nearly 30 points in 2024 against Democrat Bob Christian. The crowded Democratic primary—featuring immigration attorney Tony Kozycki, union technician Case Norton, retired EPA scientist Larry Long, and others—lacks a clear frontrunner, diluting resources ahead of the November 3 general election. With no recent polling but historical margins and partisan lean favoring Republicans, markets price in low upset risk barring unforeseen scandals or national shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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