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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?

Noel Thomas 42%

Seán Kyne 31.1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.2%

Mike Cubbard 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,339 Vol.

Noel Thomas 42%

Seán Kyne 31.1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 9.2%

Mike Cubbard 9.1%

Polymarket

$47,339 Vol.

Sheila Garrity

$20,246 Vol.

1%

Seán Kyne

$4,701 Vol.

31%

Niall Murphy

$1,834 Vol.

<1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich

$1,654 Vol.

9%

Orla Nugent

$1,680 Vol.

<1%

Helen Ogbu

$3,933 Vol.

4%

Denman Rooke

$1,612 Vol.

1%

Noel Thomas

$5,057 Vol.

47%

Thomas Welby

$1,697 Vol.

<1%

Mike Cubbard

$2,416 Vol.

13%

Mark Lohan

$2,509 Vol.

4%

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The vacancy left by Catherine Connolly's election as president has produced a fragmented contest among 17 candidates in the Galway West by-election, scheduled for 22 May. Traders have positioned Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the clear favorite, reflecting his strong local base as a former councillor and his emphasis on immigration controls during recent fuel protests and cost-of-living debates. Fine Gael's Seán Kyne sits second despite a narrow lead in the latest Irish Times/TG4 poll, buoyed by his Seanad role and canvassing efforts across the constituency's islands. Independent Mike Cubbard and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich draw support from distinct voter blocs, while the scattered left-leaning vote limits consolidation for candidates such as Sinn Féin's Mark Lohan or Labour's Helen Ogbu. Recent candidate forums on RTÉ have underscored these dividing issues without shifting the market's implied probabilities.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$47,339
Data di fine
31 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).The vacancy left by Catherine Connolly's election as president has produced a fragmented contest among 17 candidates in the Galway West by-election, scheduled for 22 May. Traders have positioned Independent Ireland's Noel Thomas as the clear favorite, reflecting his strong local base as a former councillor and his emphasis on immigration controls during recent fuel protests and cost-of-living debates. Fine Gael's Seán Kyne sits second despite a narrow lead in the latest Irish Times/TG4 poll, buoyed by his Seanad role and canvassing efforts across the constituency's islands. Independent Mike Cubbard and Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich draw support from distinct voter blocs, while the scattered left-leaning vote limits consolidation for candidates such as Sinn Féin's Mark Lohan or Labour's Helen Ogbu. Recent candidate forums on RTÉ have underscored these dividing issues without shifting the market's implied probabilities.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volume
$47,339
Data di fine
31 mar 2027
Mercato aperto
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

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"Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Noel Thomas" a 47%, seguito da "Seán Kyne" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 47¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?" ha generato $47.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 26, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?" è "Noel Thomas" a 47%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Seán Kyne" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni suppletive di Galway-Ovest?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.