Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's maximum temperature on September 17 will likely fall in the 19–21°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and a cooler air mass advecting from the north are limiting daytime heating, with high humidity and light winds further moderating peaks. Official guidance shows daytime maxima near 20–23°C amid 80–100% cloud fractions and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, contrasting with clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the month. Model spread remains modest, though slight variations in timing of heaviest rain could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 17 settembre?
20°C 32%
19°C 23%
21°C 20%
18°C 19.1%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
19%
19°C
23%
20°C
32%
21°C
20%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C o superiore
2%
20°C 32%
19°C 23%
21°C 20%
18°C 19.1%
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
19%
19°C
23%
20°C
32%
21°C
20%
22°C
7%
23°C
4%
24°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's maximum temperature on September 17 will likely fall in the 19–21°C range, aligning with market-implied odds favoring those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and a cooler air mass advecting from the north are limiting daytime heating, with high humidity and light winds further moderating peaks. Official guidance shows daytime maxima near 20–23°C amid 80–100% cloud fractions and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, contrasting with clearer, warmer conditions earlier in the month. Model spread remains modest, though slight variations in timing of heaviest rain could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Updated runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti