Recent forecasts from global and regional models position 37°C as the leading outcome for Chengdu’s August 13 high, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover during China’s sanfu period. Official monitoring shows recent Sichuan highs frequently reaching 35–39°C amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 31–32°C but routinely exceed this under stable anticyclonic conditions. Short-term model consensus currently favors minimal precipitation and light winds, supporting the market-implied clustering around 36–38°C while acknowledging typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty that could shift resolution if a late-afternoon thunderstorm develops.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 13 agosto?
37°C 45%
38°C 27%
36°C 21%
35°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C o inferiore
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
21%
37°C
45%
38°C
27%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C o superiore
<1%
37°C 45%
38°C 27%
36°C 21%
35°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C o inferiore
$263 Vol.
1%
33°C
$155 Vol.
1%
34°C
$321 Vol.
2%
35°C
$149 Vol.
4%
36°C
$253 Vol.
21%
37°C
$2,183 Vol.
45%
38°C
$413 Vol.
27%
39°C
$282 Vol.
4%
40°C
$355 Vol.
2%
41°C
$157 Vol.
1%
42°C o superiore
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models position 37°C as the leading outcome for Chengdu’s August 13 high, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover during China’s sanfu period. Official monitoring shows recent Sichuan highs frequently reaching 35–39°C amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 31–32°C but routinely exceed this under stable anticyclonic conditions. Short-term model consensus currently favors minimal precipitation and light winds, supporting the market-implied clustering around 36–38°C while acknowledging typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty that could shift resolution if a late-afternoon thunderstorm develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,643Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models position 37°C as the leading outcome for Chengdu’s August 13 high, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover during China’s sanfu period. Official monitoring shows recent Sichuan highs frequently reaching 35–39°C amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 31–32°C but routinely exceed this under stable anticyclonic conditions. Short-term model consensus currently favors minimal precipitation and light winds, supporting the market-implied clustering around 36–38°C while acknowledging typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty that could shift resolution if a late-afternoon thunderstorm develops.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,643Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models position 37°C as the leading outcome for Chengdu’s August 13 high, reflecting persistent subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover during China’s sanfu period. Official monitoring shows recent Sichuan highs frequently reaching 35–39°C amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average near 31–32°C but routinely exceed this under stable anticyclonic conditions. Short-term model consensus currently favors minimal precipitation and light winds, supporting the market-implied clustering around 36–38°C while acknowledging typical 1–2°C forecast uncertainty that could shift resolution if a late-afternoon thunderstorm develops.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti