Latest forecasts from meteorological sources position 36°C as the leading outcome for Guangzhou's August 13 high, with model consensus showing daytime peaks near 36–37°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that could moderate or enhance local maxima. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance highlight stable warm-air advection without major cooling fronts, though convective rain timing introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 37°C or settle at 35°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 33–34°C, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow window for resolution based on official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 agosto?
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 21%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C o superiore
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 21%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$464 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$649 Vol.
3%
34°C
$321 Vol.
7%
35°C
$265 Vol.
23%
36°C
$717 Vol.
45%
37°C
$944 Vol.
21%
38°C
$466 Vol.
4%
39°C o superiore
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological sources position 36°C as the leading outcome for Guangzhou's August 13 high, with model consensus showing daytime peaks near 36–37°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that could moderate or enhance local maxima. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance highlight stable warm-air advection without major cooling fronts, though convective rain timing introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 37°C or settle at 35°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 33–34°C, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow window for resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,827Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from meteorological sources position 36°C as the leading outcome for Guangzhou's August 13 high, with model consensus showing daytime peaks near 36–37°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that could moderate or enhance local maxima. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance highlight stable warm-air advection without major cooling fronts, though convective rain timing introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 37°C or settle at 35°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 33–34°C, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow window for resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,827Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from meteorological sources position 36°C as the leading outcome for Guangzhou's August 13 high, with model consensus showing daytime peaks near 36–37°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions of high humidity, southerly flow, and scattered thunderstorms that could moderate or enhance local maxima. Recent observational trends and ensemble guidance highlight stable warm-air advection without major cooling fronts, though convective rain timing introduces uncertainty in whether readings reach 37°C or settle at 35°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical August baselines around 33–34°C, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow window for resolution based on official station data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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