Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 13 will likely reach the mid-30s Celsius, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and typical August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat effects. Consensus forecasts cluster around 35–37°C, with convective thunderstorms expected to potentially cap peaks near 36°C through cloud cover and precipitation. This positioning explains the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (44.5%), followed by 35°C and 37°C, as traders weigh model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Updated guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 13 agosto?
36°C 45%
35°C 24%
37°C 22%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
24%
36°C
45%
37°C
22%
38°C
5%
39°C o superiore
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 24%
37°C 22%
34°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
29°C o inferiore
$464 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$649 Vol.
3%
34°C
$321 Vol.
7%
35°C
$324 Vol.
24%
36°C
$720 Vol.
45%
37°C
$1,026 Vol.
22%
38°C
$589 Vol.
5%
39°C o superiore
$1,688 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 13 will likely reach the mid-30s Celsius, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and typical August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat effects. Consensus forecasts cluster around 35–37°C, with convective thunderstorms expected to potentially cap peaks near 36°C through cloud cover and precipitation. This positioning explains the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (44.5%), followed by 35°C and 37°C, as traders weigh model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Updated guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,095Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 13 will likely reach the mid-30s Celsius, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and typical August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat effects. Consensus forecasts cluster around 35–37°C, with convective thunderstorms expected to potentially cap peaks near 36°C through cloud cover and precipitation. This positioning explains the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (44.5%), followed by 35°C and 37°C, as traders weigh model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Updated guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,095Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate maximum temperatures in Guangzhou on August 13 will likely reach the mid-30s Celsius, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and typical August subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and urban heat effects. Consensus forecasts cluster around 35–37°C, with convective thunderstorms expected to potentially cap peaks near 36°C through cloud cover and precipitation. This positioning explains the market-implied odds favoring 36°C (44.5%), followed by 35°C and 37°C, as traders weigh model runs showing limited day-to-day variability. Updated guidance and real-time surface observations tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti