Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driven by a stable subtropical ridge that limited cloud cover and maintained light southerly flow with moderate humidity levels. Regional forecast models converged on this value in the days leading up to the date, producing consistent guidance on peak temperatures without significant outliers. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.9% reflects this alignment between official observations and climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 26–28°C. Minor adjustments in station readings or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift resolution, though automated verification protocols make such revisions highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 15 maggio?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
$292,441 Vol.
$292,441 Vol.
15 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
$292,441 Vol.
$292,441 Vol.
15 mag 2026
19°C o inferiore
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$35,849 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driven by a stable subtropical ridge that limited cloud cover and maintained light southerly flow with moderate humidity levels. Regional forecast models converged on this value in the days leading up to the date, producing consistent guidance on peak temperatures without significant outliers. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.9% reflects this alignment between official observations and climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 26–28°C. Minor adjustments in station readings or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift resolution, though automated verification protocols make such revisions highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,441Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driven by a stable subtropical ridge that limited cloud cover and maintained light southerly flow with moderate humidity levels. Regional forecast models converged on this value in the days leading up to the date, producing consistent guidance on peak temperatures without significant outliers. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.9% reflects this alignment between official observations and climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 26–28°C. Minor adjustments in station readings or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift resolution, though automated verification protocols make such revisions highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,441Data di fine
15 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological data from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 27°C on May 15, driven by a stable subtropical ridge that limited cloud cover and maintained light southerly flow with moderate humidity levels. Regional forecast models converged on this value in the days leading up to the date, producing consistent guidance on peak temperatures without significant outliers. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.9% reflects this alignment between official observations and climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs typically range from 26–28°C. Minor adjustments in station readings or localized urban heat effects remain the only realistic variables that could shift resolution, though automated verification protocols make such revisions highly improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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