Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 maggio?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,881 Vol.
$265,881 Vol.
17 mag 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$265,881 Vol.
$265,881 Vol.
17 mag 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38,211 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$103,686 Vol.
100%
26°C
$55,004 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,343 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,542 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,419 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$265,881Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$265,881Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C today, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow sustaining persistent cloud cover to limit solar heating. These conditions have suppressed temperatures well below the May climatological average of 28–31°C, producing the market-implied consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C. An unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a late shift in steering winds could allow brief additional warming and push readings to 26°C, though current model runs show low probability of such a change before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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