Traders assign the highest probability to a 98-99°F peak in Houston today because current high-pressure subsidence and light southerly flow are maximizing daytime solar heating over the urban heat island. National Weather Service model consensus shows afternoon temperatures climbing to near 99°F under mostly clear skies, with dew points in the mid-70s adding to the heat load but not altering the dry-bulb maximum. This aligns with late-August climatology elevated by several degrees above the long-term 93°F average, while any incoming Gulf moisture or thin cloud deck remains the main variable that could cap readings in the upper 90s instead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 25 agosto?
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 27%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 3%
89°F o inferiore
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 55%
96-97°F 27%
100-101°F 13%
94-95°F 3%
89°F o inferiore
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
27%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 98-99°F peak in Houston today because current high-pressure subsidence and light southerly flow are maximizing daytime solar heating over the urban heat island. National Weather Service model consensus shows afternoon temperatures climbing to near 99°F under mostly clear skies, with dew points in the mid-70s adding to the heat load but not altering the dry-bulb maximum. This aligns with late-August climatology elevated by several degrees above the long-term 93°F average, while any incoming Gulf moisture or thin cloud deck remains the main variable that could cap readings in the upper 90s instead.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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