Recent National Hurricane Center and local meteorological agency guidance highlight persistent trade wind patterns and ITCZ moisture over Panama, keeping afternoon convection likely and capping peak temperatures near the 29–31°C range for June 16. Ensemble model spreads from NOAA and ECMWF show modest uncertainty tied to variable cloud cover and timing of sea-breeze thunderstorms, which historically suppress daily maxima by 1–2°C when they develop before peak heating. With climatological June highs averaging 30–31°C and daily readings frequently scattering across 28–32°C depending on convective timing, the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30°C (32%), 29°C (25%), and 31°C (21.5%) reflect traders weighting these short-term atmospheric variables and resolution criteria for the single highest official reading. Updated model runs and morning observations will further refine odds before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Panama City on June 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 16?
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
33°C or higher 9.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
31%
31°C
24%
32°C
10%
33°C or higher
10%
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
29°C 22%
33°C or higher 9.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
23°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$33 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$0 Vol.
31%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
10%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Hurricane Center and local meteorological agency guidance highlight persistent trade wind patterns and ITCZ moisture over Panama, keeping afternoon convection likely and capping peak temperatures near the 29–31°C range for June 16. Ensemble model spreads from NOAA and ECMWF show modest uncertainty tied to variable cloud cover and timing of sea-breeze thunderstorms, which historically suppress daily maxima by 1–2°C when they develop before peak heating. With climatological June highs averaging 30–31°C and daily readings frequently scattering across 28–32°C depending on convective timing, the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30°C (32%), 29°C (25%), and 31°C (21.5%) reflect traders weighting these short-term atmospheric variables and resolution criteria for the single highest official reading. Updated model runs and morning observations will further refine odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$40Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 9:10 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Hurricane Center and local meteorological agency guidance highlight persistent trade wind patterns and ITCZ moisture over Panama, keeping afternoon convection likely and capping peak temperatures near the 29–31°C range for June 16. Ensemble model spreads from NOAA and ECMWF show modest uncertainty tied to variable cloud cover and timing of sea-breeze thunderstorms, which historically suppress daily maxima by 1–2°C when they develop before peak heating. With climatological June highs averaging 30–31°C and daily readings frequently scattering across 28–32°C depending on convective timing, the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30°C (32%), 29°C (25%), and 31°C (21.5%) reflect traders weighting these short-term atmospheric variables and resolution criteria for the single highest official reading. Updated model runs and morning observations will further refine odds before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 9:10 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Hurricane Center and local meteorological agency guidance highlight persistent trade wind patterns and ITCZ moisture over Panama, keeping afternoon convection likely and capping peak temperatures near the 29–31°C range for June 16. Ensemble model spreads from NOAA and ECMWF show modest uncertainty tied to variable cloud cover and timing of sea-breeze thunderstorms, which historically suppress daily maxima by 1–2°C when they develop before peak heating. With climatological June highs averaging 30–31°C and daily readings frequently scattering across 28–32°C depending on convective timing, the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 30°C (32%), 29°C (25%), and 31°C (21.5%) reflect traders weighting these short-term atmospheric variables and resolution criteria for the single highest official reading. Updated model runs and morning observations will further refine odds before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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