Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional guidance currently point to a daily maximum near 29–31 °C in Beijing on June 15, with most runs clustered around 30 °C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers that could cap peak readings. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of any convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle differences among global and mesoscale models that can shift the projected high by 1–2 °C. With resolution only hours away, fresh observational data from surface stations and updated model cycles will determine whether the highest temperature settles at or below 28 °C or edges into the low 30s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 35%
30°C 25%
28°C 19%
31°C 10%
$27,509 Vol.
$27,509 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
35%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 25%
28°C 19%
31°C 10%
$27,509 Vol.
$27,509 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
19%
29°C
35%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and regional guidance currently point to a daily maximum near 29–31 °C in Beijing on June 15, with most runs clustered around 30 °C amid partly cloudy skies and possible afternoon showers that could cap peak readings. This consensus underpins the market’s heaviest weighting on 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of any convective activity, boundary-layer moisture, and subtle differences among global and mesoscale models that can shift the projected high by 1–2 °C. With resolution only hours away, fresh observational data from surface stations and updated model cycles will determine whether the highest temperature settles at or below 28 °C or edges into the low 30s.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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