Current forecast models from NOAA and local agencies point to a moderating marine layer over the Bay Area on June 14, with onshore flow and morning clouds limiting peak heating to the upper 60s or low 70s at official San Francisco measurement sites. This coastal regime, typical of mid-June climatology, contrasts with recent offshore flow episodes that briefly pushed downtown readings into the 80s earlier in the month. Traders cluster probabilities around 70–75°F because small differences in fog clearance timing, boundary layer mixing, or exact station siting can shift the daily maximum across those narrow bins, while stronger marine intrusion or delayed warming keeps outcomes below 70°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 14?
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 6%
$11,335 Vol.
$11,335 Vol.
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 22%
68-69°F 6%
$11,335 Vol.
$11,335 Vol.
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and local agencies point to a moderating marine layer over the Bay Area on June 14, with onshore flow and morning clouds limiting peak heating to the upper 60s or low 70s at official San Francisco measurement sites. This coastal regime, typical of mid-June climatology, contrasts with recent offshore flow episodes that briefly pushed downtown readings into the 80s earlier in the month. Traders cluster probabilities around 70–75°F because small differences in fog clearance timing, boundary layer mixing, or exact station siting can shift the daily maximum across those narrow bins, while stronger marine intrusion or delayed warming keeps outcomes below 70°F. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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